- 
CMG is not undervalued, price has fallen lower from all time highs but the drop is justified.
- This company was trading at 65x forward earnings perhaps because of flawless execution by it's ex-CEO.
- But this company is experiencing declines in same store sales and revenue growth is moderating.
- Currently, as of Sept 14, 2025, It's trading at 27x forward earnings which is not too high but not too low either.
- I have marked three zones, first red zone is for people looking for a counter trend/bounce ideally for swing traders. Yellow/Cyan for investors who might want to DCA and lastly green zone which is good for long term investors.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
EPS% | 8.38% | 17.02% | 17.63% | 23.82%
EPS is growing mid teens. A fair forward p/e would be 15 but I am willing to pay around 20 x forward p/e for the brand value with a hope they will turn around the business
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
Fair value | $24 | $28.4 | $33 | $41.4
As we know, we are only a quarter away from 2026, therefore, If I had to considerCMG it would be around somewhere between $28-$33 otherwise I will stay away from this company.
CMG is not undervalued, price has fallen lower from all time highs but the drop is justified.- This company was trading at 65x forward earnings perhaps because of flawless execution by it's ex-CEO.
- But this company is experiencing declines in same store sales and revenue growth is moderating.
- Currently, as of Sept 14, 2025, It's trading at 27x forward earnings which is not too high but not too low either.
- I have marked three zones, first red zone is for people looking for a counter trend/bounce ideally for swing traders. Yellow/Cyan for investors who might want to DCA and lastly green zone which is good for long term investors.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
EPS% | 8.38% | 17.02% | 17.63% | 23.82%
EPS is growing mid teens. A fair forward p/e would be 15 but I am willing to pay around 20 x forward p/e for the brand value with a hope they will turn around the business
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
Fair value | $24 | $28.4 | $33 | $41.4
As we know, we are only a quarter away from 2026, therefore, If I had to consider
CMG it would be around somewhere between $28-$33 otherwise I will stay away from this company.注释
- Please note that 27x forward p/e is richly valued as this is not a tech company. Even if it was a tech company with similar growth rate 27x forward p/e is considered high for them. - Therefore,
CMG needs to adjust to a fair multiple.注释
- I warned everyone to stay away from CMG注释
- CMG is in DCA zone but I am still not buying the stock as I need more compelling valuation to consider it as deep value注释
- Food related business takes time for the turn around交易结束：到达目标
Accumulating CMG for the long side $29.xx average
免责声明
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
免责声明
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.