The model here is good at projecting with at least a 4 weeks lead time for potential waves. This was previously demonstrated for a couple of countries and all have not yet disappointed. Often, the onset is actually faster than projected... mostly attributed to the increasing virulence of the virus.
Difficult to disagree with Red Cross... it IS heading that way. Prayers and well wishes to those in Indonesia, especially my friends living there. Stay safe and well. Take good care.