Yes, the DAX is clearly within an established downtrend on the daily chart. And its drawdown from its record high is relatively shallow at just -11.5% by historical standards - meaning we suspect further losses could be coming.
Yet its failure to break beneath the December high and March low has not gone unnoticed. And given it formed a bullish hammer around these key level with a mild bullish RSI divergence, we see the potential for some mean reversion over the near term.
Keep in mind that we have flash PMIs for the US and Europe today along with a speech from ECB President Lagarde, US GDP, PCE inflation and a Jerome Powell speech also in focus this week. And that leaves plenty of room for volatility for global markets.
Yet its failure to break beneath the December high and March low has not gone unnoticed. And given it formed a bullish hammer around these key level with a mild bullish RSI divergence, we see the potential for some mean reversion over the near term.
Keep in mind that we have flash PMIs for the US and Europe today along with a speech from ECB President Lagarde, US GDP, PCE inflation and a Jerome Powell speech also in focus this week. And that leaves plenty of room for volatility for global markets.