Super interesting (regime change) setup that's typically a s.o.l.i.d hit-or-miss in a (real) short amount of time. When I developed this moving average strategy, the weakest link was an ability to find a (clear) long-term-trade that's in the works of a new bull-run after a long bear market for ___ amount of time. Obviously on a longer-duration chart, a regime change from MUCH more reliable & even on a 4-Hour chart, there's huge potential for a fakeout-rally with huge tail-wind on the way down. Also 100x more credible to follow going from a bear-market than a bull-bear market. (180WMA above / below 789 = 3.14 year WMA). But anyway, real nice start so far. I started documenting these types of setups right from the start of the retail boom starting from $UA, $TRIP, $M, etc., The dip down to the 180WMA right after crossing the black WMA happens 85% of the time in a regime change I see regardless of chart duration, but the focus should be set on how tight / wide of a range price stays within blue 180WMA thereafter. Too long of an explanation but $DIN in particular is a little unique, but not really. I don't typically see obvious Asc triangles / Asc wedges right after a regime change, it's either a surge above & huge drop back down to bear market, or a (modest) surge followed by consolidation w/ new highs. I'm not suspect of the consolidation @ this point, but I'm suspect of that we're a few short of a breakout. The 55 bar count is the white curve I refer to in all my posts (past 55 candle lows), & the vertical red line is the start of when that starts to curve up significantly (where past 55 candles make significantly higher lows than those before it) - it's a top caller. The yellow vertical line is another 55 bar count from the time the white curve, price, 20 & 45 EMA should be @ the bottom of (potential) dip, & face a continuation if not a breakout. I'll leave a few examples - but I'm expecting a dip down to $75 @ the high end. If a break of that triangle - yellow rectangle should be the savior on the low end. Will update tho
$M Ex 1 -
$TRIP Ex 2 -
$MGA Ex 3 -
$M Ex 1 -
$TRIP Ex 2 -
$MGA Ex 3 -
评论:
So Close!!!
交易结束：到达目标