Possibility of 9-16k decline in the next 18 months!
This is a very bold prediction, but looking at the historical data it is not impossible to happen!
So, it is good to think about!
There have been two bear markets in the Dow Jones since 2000:
• March 2000 - October 2002: The Dow Jones declined by 37.8% during this bear market, which was caused by the bursting of the dot-com bubble.
• October 2007 - March 2009: The Dow Jones declined by 53.5% during this bear market, which was caused by the global financial crisis.
The average Dow Jones decline during these two bear markets was 45.7%. The average duration was 18.5 months.
If you think this would be the case in the next 18 months, How would you rebalance your portfolio?
So, it is good to think about!
There have been two bear markets in the Dow Jones since 2000:
• March 2000 - October 2002: The Dow Jones declined by 37.8% during this bear market, which was caused by the bursting of the dot-com bubble.
• October 2007 - March 2009: The Dow Jones declined by 53.5% during this bear market, which was caused by the global financial crisis.
The average Dow Jones decline during these two bear markets was 45.7%. The average duration was 18.5 months.
If you think this would be the case in the next 18 months, How would you rebalance your portfolio?
评论:
A review of the post I published on FEB 2020 before the market crash! When I had less than 20 followers!
评论:
