UK Property REITS are on the move - targeting 62% retracement

2016年7月19日

UK Property REITS including Derwent (DLN) have today closed above their 38% retracement levels following brexit.

Having been long DLN from 2400 on 7th July, this provides a bullish signal indicating that resistance has been successfully broken (following a week's worth of testing) and that price should rally towards 3019 in the next few weeks.

Should we see a reversal and two consecutive daily (or one weekly) close below 2717, then this hypothesis would be invalidated and REITS such as Derwent with similar pivots could be considered as shorts (targeting a new swing low having retraced the entire move).

Long at 2750 with a target of 3017 and stop (on close) at 2625, should provide a 2:1 payoff over the next month

(Suggested levels are for illustrative purposes only - you trade at your own risk)

2016年7月20日

交易开始

Assured up move today having retested prior resistance (38% pivot) at 2717 this morning. Today provides a second consecutive daily close above the level which confirms 2717 as new support, adding conviction to the 3019 target.

2016年8月3日

交易手动结束

Price has found short term resistance around the 50% retracement level at 2867 with declining momentum evidenced by the slow stochastics. 3019 is still possible but looks increasingly less likely unless support is regained at 2717.

A confirmed break below 2717 presents a potential short opportunity targeting new lows below 2229.