US-Dollar possible next big moves

Hi!

First of all:
it's a personal, purely technical view
without taking news or economic miracles into account!
or an alien invasion...
your opinion on this is very welcome in the comments!

Part 1: way up
let's switch to a smaller time frame to see why I think it would be possible
There is still a key level from the last up move in 2014 that has not been tested again.
I could imagine this will happen before we see another upward movement.
this key level is also in the range between 78.6 and 88.2 fibonacci.
anyone who knows a bit about fibonacci, knows that the market likes to hit this area again before major movements happen. mostly ... not always but often.
if this happens and the market does not break through here, the way could be free to go upwards.

Part 2: way down
here i take the same principle - just rotated
there is still the level of the high between 2000-2002 which has not been retested.
here again the fibonacci with the same levels. only rotated this time.
the range between 110 and 115 would be a very good short entry for me. because there could be a really tough resistance.
if the market goes above 121, we can look forward to more golden times.
if not... Michael Burry gets his next big short.

the only question would then be how far the usd can fall. the target area at -27 Fib is only a guess!
maybe someone already sees possibilities!
maybe I'm completely wrong?
we will see...

thanks for reading and have a nice day

not a trading recommendation or a investment advice
just my own opinion