Pavley

The two ways this plays out. Both are bad

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CME_MINI:ES1!   标普500 E-mini期货
Hey there friends!

As you can see, I have two resistance trendlines plotted. Both historically have been respected very reasonably. On top of this, id like to mention that my software that signals weakness in the market has been triggered. Although it doesnt 100% predict the absolute top, it does show where weakness is and you can see how it has preformed in the past. With this said, as we test the first of the 2 trendline resistances of this massive megaphone AND test the resistance trendline of the ascending channel, I expect some kind of retrace.

The target would be assumed to be the bottom of the ascending channel, which would be 3836. From there we will see one of two things. Either a breakout of the ascending channel or a bounce from the support line to send us up to test the second of the resistance trendlines in the descending megaphone. If we bounce, im certain it will also test the resistance trendline of the ascending channel. This would line up to be on December 1st with a target of about 4110.

If instead we breakout of the ascending channel when we head down, the target would be 3300 based purely on TA of the ascending channel. But i would like to mention that whenever we find a top, we reject -16.50% in 45 days (this has happened the last two times)
If we go based on that the target would be more like 3200.

Stay fluid friends. Were in for a volatile time

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