Ronin_trader

ETHUSD SHORT - May 24 (☔ Reverse Trapping Lighting v1)

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Ronin_trader 已更新   
OANDA:ETHUSD   以太坊
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This pattern is a Grade A
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Decided to relook the strategy and redo the strategy validation by run a manual backtest from 15 March to 18 April where the regime changes from bullish to a bearish range on the D1 chart.

I am aware that once the regime changes and need to revert back to the original Long strategy

New Observation
The pull backs still happen but they rise and stall into a range before falling. Because of the nature of the range there are opportunities for us to take tight stops to limit risk and still have clear TP at the next S/R lines

Entry
  • Step 0: Identify Regime - Is the D1 still below the 20 SMA
  • Step 1: Identify Period of indecisiveness
  • Step 2: Bullish price shoot up
  • Step 3: Mark Limit entry and SL
  • - Go trade: Risk Reward ratio no lower than 2
  • - Bad trade: Risk Reward ratio <2

Depending on patterns I will adjust the bet size accordingly
  • Grade A - 100% Bet, 9.5 units - $500
  • Grade B - 50% Bet, 4.75 units - $250
  • Grade C - 25% Bet, 2.3 units - $121


  • Backtest performance: 15 Mar - 18 Apr 2024, 1 Hour candle
  • Average 1 Trade per week
  • Total Trades: 5
  • Lose: 1
  • Win: 4
  • Total Profit: 6,709.90
  • Profit Factor: 38.27
  • Deepest Drawdown: -2.32%
  • Highest Run-up: 11.59%
  • Average Trade: 1,341.98

Will continue to iterate the strategy as the live trades flow in
交易开始:
Price broke a key point 2959.67 and the indicator showed another signal. So I scaled up the same amount 3.6 units
交易结束:到达止损:
:(
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