The RSI shows a clear bullish divergence, where price made lower lows but RSI formed higher lows between September 25 and November 4. This pattern often signals fading bearish momentum and a potential reversal.
From a derivatives view, nearly $1.2 billion in short positions are clustered between $3,320 and $3,740, compared to just $330 million in long exposure. A move above $3,338 could trigger short covering, accelerating price gains. On-chain data adds mild support: large holders have modestly increased their positions, and the NUPL ratio near 0.27 shows most weak hands have already exited.
A daily close below $3,053 would invalidate the rebound case, but holding above it keeps
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