EURUSD SHORT BEFORE ECB RATES

EUR/USD pair retreated below 1.0800 during the American session, facing resistance at the 1.0820 level and the 100-day SMA at 1.0805. The short-term bullish bias remains, but technical indicators offer mixed signals. The pair's retreat from recent highs suggests potential downside, with support levels at 1.0760 and 1.0740. However, the overall bias remains bullish, despite volatility expected due to the upcoming FOMC meeting and ECB meeting.

In Germany, May's inflation data confirmed a decrease from April, while the ZEW survey showed unexpected improvement. Germany's Wholesale Price Index and Eurozone Industrial Production data will be released, with expectations for a 25 basis point hike by the ECB.

The US CPI for May showed a lower-than-expected increase, indicating slowing inflation. This may influence the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle decisions. The Greenback initially tumbled after the report but later recovered. The direction of the EUR/USD pair will depend on the US Dollar's performance ahead of the FOMC statement.

Overall, caution is advised in light of market volatility and the impact of central bank meetings. Traders should closely monitor economic data and the guidance provided by central banks to make informed investment decisions.

Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy