EURUSD struggles to extend post-ECB/US CPI-led run-up during early Friday. The pair’s bounce off 200-SMA fades below 100-SMA and a 13-day-old falling trend line resistance, respectively around 1.2190 and 1.2200. Even if the pair manages to cross the 1.2200 threshold, a horizontal hurdle around 1.2240 and the recent multi-month top near 1.2265 becomes the key to watch for fresh impetus. It should, however, be noted that sluggish MACD and fears of the Fed’s signal to tapering could weigh on the EURUSD prices moving forward.
Meanwhile, a downside break of 200-SMA, close to 1.2145, needs to break an ascending support line from early May, around 1.2125 to direct EURUSD sellers to the monthly low of 1.2103. During the quote’s weakness past 1.2100, 1.2070 may offer an intermediate halt before dragging the quote to the previous month’s low near 1.1985.
Meanwhile, a downside break of 200-SMA, close to 1.2145, needs to break an ascending support line from early May, around 1.2125 to direct EURUSD sellers to the monthly low of 1.2103. During the quote’s weakness past 1.2100, 1.2070 may offer an intermediate halt before dragging the quote to the previous month’s low near 1.1985.