EURUSD: Potential MACD Bullish Cross makes all the difference

EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.712, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 26.518) and that's exactly how we can characterize its trend on the medium term. Even though both this week and the previous closed on flat 1W candles, the pair remains inside a Channel Down that has just formed a 1D Death Cross. For now that is bearish and that's what we remain, still aiming for a -2.67% decline (TP = 1.06900) since two weeks ago.

Notice however the 1D MACD which is near forming a Bullish Cross, something we last saw on February 16th. If it gets completed, it will be a bullish reversal signal, so we will close our short and open long targeting the top dashed trendline (TP = 1.10700). If it fails to get completed like the August 30th 2023 one, we expect an even more aggressive downtrend. The difference this time is that the price already crossed over the 1D MA50, something which didn't happen then.

See how our prior idea has worked out:


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