Amr-Sadek

EURUSD 28 Feb 2024 W9 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP

FOREXCOM:EURUSD   欧元/美元
This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Feb 2024 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:

  1. 4H
  2. 15m

NOTE: Nothing changed again from yesterday, 4H no changes and 15m just created INT to INT Structure.

4H Chart Analysis


1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • INT Bullish
  • Swing Pullback Phase




2.

  • After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
  • As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
  • Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
  • Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.




3.

  • After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback.
  • Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback.
  • We didn't do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH.
  • Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price.
  • As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario.
  • Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view.


15m Chart Analysis


1.

  • Swing Bullish
  • INT Bullish
  • INT INT Bearish
  • INT Continuation Phase

2.

  • Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback.
  • After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback.
  • Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback.
  • We reached the INT Structure extreme and price started a bounce.
  • Price created a Bullish CHoCH after ranging which indicates that the INT Pullback is over and expectation is to target the Weak INT High.
  • With the ranging behavior of price we created INT to INT Structure which turned bearish and currently challenging to maybe targeting the INT Structure Pullback low (ii Low @ 1.0803).

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