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Correlation between the Fed rate and the 2-year yield
Effective Federal Funds Rate
(
FRED:FEDFUNDS
)
intermarketflow
Plus
FRED:FEDFUNDS
Effective Federal Funds Rate
Chart Patterns
Trend Analysis
Technical Indicators
0
2
chartpattern
trendanalysis
indicator
The 2-year rate consistently anticipates the Fed rate. By examining the correlation coefficient, one can even estimate the breakdown of that correlation, which occurs with the introduction of a new macro narrative that displaces the previous one.
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