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BRIDGEWATER vs. TOTAL SA

已更新

Quote: "In just one week Bridgewater, the world’s biggest hedge fund firm, more than quadrupled how much it’s betting against European Union companies. The firm, run by Ray Dalio, has at least $13.1 billion in shorts, or wagers that a stock will fall, according to EU regulatory filings. That’s up from the $3.2 billion it had disclosed on Feb. 1. It also more than doubled the number stocks it’s shorting to 44 from 20. Bridgewater in the past week put more than $1 billion to work betting against oil giant Total SA -- making it the firm’s largest disclosed short holding in Europe. The energy titan has been riding out the biggest industry downturn in a generation by selling assets and cutting spending. The hedge fund also started a bearish Airbus SE position, investing about $381 million against the aircraft maker. Among other short positions, it disclosed wagers against BNP Paribas SA, ING Groep NV and Banco Santander SA.

Since the Feb. 8 regulatory filings, Total has fallen about 1 percent as markets slumped. Airbus, BNP Paribas, ING Groep and Banco Santander have sunk roughly 2 percent."

Source: bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-09/ray-dalio-bridgewater-quadruples-shorts-on-european-union-stocks

vs.:

wsj.com/articles/big-oil-is-rewarding-investors-again-1518084538
and:
reuters.com/article/us-airbus-emirates/emirates-firms-up-16-billion-order-for-a380-superjumbos-idUSKBN1FV0W8?il=0

Fundamental:

businesswire.com/news/home/20180209005464/en/Total-S.A.-UK-Regulatory-Announcement-Total-Strengthens
handelsblatt.com/politik/international/oel-und-gas-schatzinsel-zypern/7756642.html
jpost.com/Israel-News/Entering-a-new-era-of-natural-gas-517621
reuters.com/article/us-lebanon-israel-natgas/lebanon-to-begin-offshore-energy-search-in-block-disputed-by-israel-idUSKBN1FT218

Criticism:

fool.com/investing/2018/02/08/total-sa-records-a-blowout-quarter-and-initiates-s.aspx

David vs. Goliath: Question is: Who is "David"?

Allianz:

Allianz is buying 2times more stocks back until June 30 2018 as Bridgewater is shorting right now.

(Special Thanks to trader tradingview.com/u/mueller11111/ giving latest news about TOTAL SA 5 bn. Euro stock repurchase program)

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Bridgewater: Total Volume short Europe now at least 18,57 bn.

6,3 Mrd. Euro: Germany
3,0 Mrd. Euro: Italien
1,2 Mrd. Euro: IBEX35 Werte
1,4 Mrd. Euro: AEX: ING/ASML/Philips/Unilever
1,1 Mrd. Euro: TOTAL SA
0,7 Mrd. Euro: Sanofi
0,6 Mrd. Euro: BNP
0,3 Mrd. Euro: Airbus
0,5 Mrd. Euro: AXA
------------------
15,1 Mrd. Euro or 18.57 Bn Dollar.

Source NL shorts: iex.nl/Column/275064/Er-zit-een-dikke-shorter-in-de-AEX.aspx,3
Source IBEX 35 shorts: elconfidencial.com/mercados/2018-02-06/ray-dalio-1200millones-bajistas-santander-bbva-ibex_1517520/
Source: Italien bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/bridgewater-triples-wagers-against-italian-firms-to-3-billion
Source quadruples shorts: bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-09/ray-dalio-bridgewater-quadruples-shorts-on-european-union-stocks
Source other shorts, Airbus: twitter.com/srussolillo/status/961876996618792966

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BRIDGEWATER NOW PESSIMISTIC ABOUT STOCKMARKETS:
FT front page - Bridgewater “We'll probably have a much bigger shakeout coming"
forexlive.com/news/!/ft-front-page-on-equity-sell-off-bridgewater-investment-chief-sees-new-era-of-volatility-201802

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BRIDGEWATER: BLOOMBERG cares about it

DAX vs. BRIDGEWATER

Bridgewater Takes Short Bet Against Europe Stocks to $14 Billion
Quote: "The world’s biggest hedge fund isn’t done betting against European equities." bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-12/bridgewater-takes-short-bet-against-europe-stocks-to-14-billion

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Now - talking down the Markets?

Ray Dalio: 'Risks of a recession' are rising

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio says in a LinkedIn blog post that the Federal Reserve's response to better-than-expected economic data and more fiscal spending may lead to an economic slowdown.
"What we do know is that we are in the part of the cycle in which the central banks' getting monetary policy right is difficult and that this time around the balancing act will be especially difficult," he writes.
The firm manages about $160 billion, according to its website.

$160 billion hedge fund exec: 'We’ll probably have a much bigger shakeout coming'
businessinsider.com/bridgewater-co-cio-bob-prince-on-market-volatility-bigger-shakeout-coming-2018-2
cnbc.com/2018/02/12/ray-dalio-risks-of-a-recession-are-rising.html

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NEW RUMORS:

spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/boerse-whistleblower-fuehrt-kursrutsch-auf-manipulation-zurueck-a-1193283.html
ft.com/content/a89eba68-10b4-11e8-940e-08320fc2a277
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/vix-manipulation-costs-investors-billions-whistle-blower-says
reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks-volatility-manipulation/whistleblower-alleges-vix-manipulation-urges-regulatory-probe-idUSKBN1FX0ES

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European stocks bounce back, as investors shake off US inflation data

The euro area economy maintained a healthy growth pace at the end of last year, paving the way for another robust performance in 2018.
U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected, sparking fears over inflation. The Consumer Price Index increased 0.5 percent in January.
Volatility in the region followed the much-anticipated U.S. inflation data, which came in above expectations. cnbc.com/2018/02/14/europe-markets-seen-higher-amid-earnings-and-economic-data.html

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BRIDGEWATER‘s net short position is 22 bn US Dollar not 20 as calculated: mobil.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Hedgefonds-setzt-Milliarden-auf-Kursrutsch-article20286918.html

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BRIDGEWATER, update: Dalio Will Lose on European Bank ‘Big Short,’ Algebris CEO Says bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-19/dalio-will-lose-on-european-bank-big-short-algebris-ceo-says

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Ray Dalios biggest mistake, probably ever:

Italian election’s biggest winner is Europe
politico.eu/article/italy-election-2018-biggest-winner-is-europe/

vs.

Bridgewater Triples Bets Against Italian Firms to $3 Billion
Hedge fund firm raises bet against Intesa, shorts Atlantia
Bridgewater raises short positions ahead of national elections
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/bridgewater-triples-wagers-against-italian-firms-to-3-billion

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Latest update on Bridgewater:

It's Dalio Versus Everyone Else as Money Flows to Europe

I’m surprised. That’s a big bet. Dalio and his team are very confident,” said Rick Herman, managing director of asset allocation who helps oversee about $30 billion at BB&T Institutional Investment Advisors Inc. “That’s definitely out of consensus. European stocks are cheaper, and they also have stronger earnings growth.”
bloombergquint.com/markets/2018/02/26/it-s-dalio-versus-everyone-else-as-money-flows-to-europe-stocks

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Just to compare: US-Investors sold assets for 41 Bn USD in a full month. BRIDGEWATER sold stocks for at least 22 Bn USD just within a few days only. Same time Europe’s Stockmarket is much smaller than the US Stockmarket.

„Investors staged a near-record exodus from US stocks in February

Funds that focus on U.S. stocks saw investors withdraw $41.1 billion in February, according to market data firm TrimTabs.
The total was the third-largest ever and came during a month when the Dow industrials lost about 4 %“ cnbc.com/2018/03/06/investors-staged-a-near-record-exodus-from-us-stocks-in-february.html

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20.04.201816:18 Uhr
BRIDGEWATER

Weltgrößter Hedgefonds reduziert Wettsumme gegen Dax-Titel um mehr als drei Milliarden Euro

VonJürgen Röder
Innerhalb von weniger als einem Monat hat Bridgewater seine Spekulationen gegen Dax-Titel massiv zurückgefahren. Das könnte sich auf den Aktienmarkt auswirken. app.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/fonds/bridgewater-weltgroesster-hedgefonds-reduziert-wettsumme-gegen-dax-titel-um-mehr-als-drei-milliarden-euro/21197812.html