On the Daily chart (right panel) you can see the wedge GBPAUD has been respecting until Tuesday when a large sell of caused it to close outside. After a flush down on AUD news Wednesday, it saw strong buying pressure which looks to be resuming today after a drop early London.
I'm now starting to look at the 30m range from 1.9060 to 1.9320 as the way to play this. There is a decent way to go before we get to the top of the range, but it could manage it tomorrow given the 21 day ExMo is 140. At which point I may look to buy a Put for next week, and trade the intra-day price action on Monday as a way to gain exposure to potential downside without having to hold the over night risk on a tradition position.
Overall well worth watching as the Aussie pairs have been moving nicely in recent weeks and we want to capitalise on that while we can.
I'm now starting to look at the 30m range from 1.9060 to 1.9320 as the way to play this. There is a decent way to go before we get to the top of the range, but it could manage it tomorrow given the 21 day ExMo is 140. At which point I may look to buy a Put for next week, and trade the intra-day price action on Monday as a way to gain exposure to potential downside without having to hold the over night risk on a tradition position.
Overall well worth watching as the Aussie pairs have been moving nicely in recent weeks and we want to capitalise on that while we can.