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Gold at Crossroads: Economic Data and Geopolitics Weigh In

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TVC:GOLD   黄金差价合约(美元/盎司)
Gold's price action continues to be a focal point for traders, particularly in light of recent CPI data and geopolitical tensions.

Technical analysis: Gold's recent activity has seen it testing the resistance near $2392.80, a level that, if breached, could signal a continuation of the upward momentum we’ve been tracking. Currently, gold is consolidating around the $2370 mark, showing some indecision after the last bullish push. The support trendline has been guiding prices higher. Should gold maintain its position above this trendline and the recent support zone at $2364, we could see it take another stab at the resistance. However, if the consolidation resolves to the downside, the next key support at $2327.72 may come into play.

Our position: Given last week's hotter-than-expected CPI release, which has given the dollar a boost, combined with increased market volatility from the current Middle East tensions, our outlook is cautiously bullish. We continue to see pullbacks as buying opportunities within this bullish trend, providing the price maintains above the significant support levels.

In the current climate, with the aftermath of CPI still rippling through the markets and geopolitical uncertainty on the rise, it's essential to stay vigilant. We are prepared to adapt our position in response to significant shifts in the fundamental landscape, which could arise from further developments in the Middle East or additional economic data releases.

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