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US Economy Shows Strength, Gold's Future Uncertain

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TVC:GOLD   黄金差价合约(美元/盎司)

According to Harshal Barot, a senior consultant at Metals Focus, there are growing indications that the United States may avoid a recession. Based on this assessment and the expectation of prolonged high interest rates, our forecasts project a decline in gold prices to approximately $1,850 levels this year. Recent data suggesting a stable economy could prompt the Federal Reserve to implement further rate hikes in order to curb inflation.

Investors are currently anticipating a 77% likelihood of a rate hike taking place in July, as indicated by CME's Fedwatch tool. Additionally, major U.S. banks are predicting a 25-basis-point rate hike, with rate cuts expected to occur from March 2024 onwards.

The presence of elevated interest rates acts as a deterrent for traders considering investment in non-yielding gold.

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