In this updated analysis of the GRASS/USDT Spot pair, the market has reached a key zone of interest, aligning with the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) and ICT principles. This setup remains bullish as the market hunts liquidity at discounted prices before a strong rally. Here’s the detailed breakdown:
Liquidity Hunt and OTE Zone The recent price action has dipped into the Liquidity Pool below previous lows, sweeping out sell-side liquidity and mitigating the Order Block (OB) within the OTE zone (highlighted in orange). This area, between $1.80 - $1.70, coincides with the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci retracement, where we expect smart money to step in and reverse the market.
Market Structure and CHOCH The higher time-frame structure remains bullish. We see a Change of Character (CHOCH) and a series of Breaks of Market Structure (BMS) on the way down, indicating a retracement phase. This retracement appears to have reached its conclusion as price has tapped into the OTE zone, a key area where smart money often initiates new long positions.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Mitigation The price action also aligns with the mitigation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the same discounted area. This adds further confluence to the expectation of a bullish reversal.
Bullish Bias and Rally Expectation The bias remains bullish, with a strong rally expected from the OTE zone. The target for this rally is the $4.00 level, which aligns with the upper imbalance and liquidity resting above the previous swing highs.
Execution Plan Entry: Current price within the $1.80 - $1.70 zone offers an excellent opportunity for long positions. Look for bullish confirmations on lower time frames (e.g., CHOCH, BMS). Stop Loss: Below the $1.70 level to protect against a deeper liquidity sweep. Take Profit: First Target: $2.90 - $3.00 (immediate imbalance) Final Target: $4.00 (major liquidity zone above the highs)
Confluence for Reversal Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity has been taken below previous lows. Order Block: Price has tapped into the OTE zone, coinciding with a higher time-frame OB. FVG Mitigation: Price has filled the imbalance, further suggesting a bullish reversal. Rally Setup: This combination signals that smart money has accumulated positions, and a significant upward move is imminent.
Summary GRASS/USDT is poised for a bullish reversal after sweeping liquidity and tapping into the OTE Order Block. A strong rally is expected to target $4.00, offering a high-probability long setup with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. Patience for confirmation in the OTE zone will ensure an optimal entry.