Home Depot Sits Calmly as Housing Surges

The U.S. housing market is taking off -- at least according to yesterday’s data (starts and permits). However one of the biggest companies in the sector is still negative on the year: Home Depot.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on February 21 after sales and guidance disappointed. HD has recently started probing the $305.55 opening price from that session. Does this create the potential for a breakout?

Second, positive pressure could be emerging from below. Notice how HD tried to break under its March low last month but quickly rebounded. There was a higher low on June 1, followed by a steady push upward. That kind of price action may suggest buyers are lurking near the current price area.

Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) are also rising. Those may reflect improving short- and intermediate-term trends.

Finally, HD stalled at its 200-day SMA about two months ago. However the current consolidation is occurring at the same line -- a potential sign it’s losing relevance as resistance.

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