Party Over? Time to get back to senses!

7月18日

- HOOD valuation is way stretched and it should correct to a reasonable valuation.
- This needs correction. Let's see how it folds out in next 6-12 months

7月18日

注释

Target Point 1: $90
Target Point 2: $75
Target Point 3: $61.75
Target Point 4: $49
Target Point 5: $31

7月18日

注释

I am not counting on target point 4 & 5 given how cultish this stock is. But target point 1 & 2 seems reasonable if the earnings disappoint and target point 3 if recession fear strikes or trump tariff fiasco unfolds further

7月29日

注释

I have analyze basket of stocks of investors who invested in HOOD also invest in PLTR, SOFI, RKLB, OKLO , HIMS

- These investors have made HOOD valuation very insane and have squeezed all future gains by front loading it to present and made HOOD almost un-investible.

- Un investible implies when market participants front load gains in a stock few year in advanced in anticipation of growth in some years to come. This leads to parabola and strong momentum and then eventually side ways action for years when fundamental actually catches up.

7月29日

注释

- HOOD investors are booking profits and appears to be rolling it into SOFI is my observation lately

7月31日

注释

- Good earnings but all good news are priced in. Valuation is too high

8月3日

注释

re-iterating point targets:

Target Point 1: $90
Target Point 2: $75
Target Point 3: $61.75
Target Point 4: $49
Target Point 5: $31

8月16日

交易结束：到达目标

closed short at $92