This weekend I pulled up the sleeves and did a lot of post-trade analysis to realize what my biggest weakness was in trading: situational awareness. I developed a market timing model, backtested it on my own trades and on the market and the results were shocking to me. If I had only been trading in good periods, I would have already been profitable. This is despite the fact that I still make a TON of mistakes in execution and risk management. After all the saying is true - anyone can make money in a good market. Now that I know how to identify a good market for my strategy, I developed rules around it in terms of risk management. This will not only help me to reach profitability, but probably also have more peace of mind as I won't be swimming against the currents.
Markets are still not the best for longer term swing trading, so I will focus on shorter trends and potentially risk reversal trades, of which my strategy is still to be developed.
Markets are still not the best for longer term swing trading, so I will focus on shorter trends and potentially risk reversal trades, of which my strategy is still to be developed.
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