Lumber and 30 year Mortgage

2022年4月7日

Lumber and 30 year Mortgage – weekly scale: FRED 30 year rates lag most mortgage rates already above 5%. It has been since 2018 since rates were above 5% and lumber was sub 300.00. High priced lumber (any high priced commodity) will eventually correct itself. High prices cure high prices. Now the pinch is on and rates are reacting. Cost of money is no longer viewed as cheap. This could/should accelerate the cause and effect of high prices cure high prices.
Support for lumber is the 800-820 area. Below look for the trend to remain down with continued support at 600 and the 460 area. Risk is 360-380

2022年9月28日

评论

Still looking for 360-380 area. Mortgage rates continue higher as well

2023年3月19日

交易结束：到达目标

360 target was filled and Lumber bounced above 500 then down again. Inflation is still alive. It might be hard for lumber to move below 360...