Lucid Group, Inc.
做空

“Lucid’s Chart Isn’t Bearish – It’s Collapsing”

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1️⃣ Date & Time

Date: 3rd September 2025
Time: 12:45 AM IST

2️⃣ Fundamental News

Lucid executed a 1-for-10 reverse split on September 2nd.

Vehicle delivery guidance cut sharply → 18k–20k units vs initial lofty targets.

Analysts downgraded outlook; majority remain bearish.
⚡ Movement today aligns with structure, not news.

3️⃣ Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour

Retail Psychology: Panic exits after reverse split, many trapped at higher levels.

Institutional Strategy: No accumulation — every bounce used as exit liquidity.

Social Signal: Headlines spin the SUV launch as bullish, but real structure shows deep collapse.

4️⃣ Current Structure

Macro

Resistance: $20–22 → locked.

Support: $16 → $14 anchor.

Stage: Macro Collapse, no rescue gates open.

Micro

Resistance: $17.50–18.00.

Support: $16.20 → $15.80.

Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks, failed rescues, micro collapse intact.

5️⃣ Projection

Primary Path (70%): Drift toward $15.80–16.20, extension possible to $14.

Alternate Path (20%): Weak bounce to $18.00, rejection likely.

Low Path (10%): Rescue breakout above $20, only with strong institutional catalyst.

6️⃣ Pullback Levels

Shallow: $17.20

Medium: $18.00

Deep: $20.00 (unlikely rescue barrier)

7️⃣ Final View

Bias: Bearish.
Lucid remains in both Macro & Micro Collapse. Until $20+ is reclaimed with strength, downside path toward $15–$16 range dominates.

8️⃣ Essence

“Lucid’s chart is not in distress — it is in collapse. Every bounce is a distribution, every pullback an illusion. Path points only lower until a new structure is born.”

9️⃣ Disclaimer

⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or an investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.

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