Giving another try to harmonic patterns, this time on Litecoin paired with Bitcoin, since I think BTC ultimately drives most crypto prices and might behave better than a USD pair (maybe).
Also, starting earlier in the pattern to maximize usefulness, so a lot of this is purely speculative and is only one realization of the Bearish Alt Bat pattern. A couple of the lengths are listed as ranges, so I have gone so far with the maximum of the range, but will adjust as the pattern unfolds and does or doesn't follow these. I might also add a pattern with the minimums or some mix to see the possible outcomes.
Ultimately I'm bullish on the chikun, but I wanted to present a "bearish" alternative since most people seem pretty bullish on Litecoin. This harmonic seems like a pretty bullish bear though.
Also, starting earlier in the pattern to maximize usefulness, so a lot of this is purely speculative and is only one realization of the Bearish Alt Bat pattern. A couple of the lengths are listed as ranges, so I have gone so far with the maximum of the range, but will adjust as the pattern unfolds and does or doesn't follow these. I might also add a pattern with the minimums or some mix to see the possible outcomes.
Ultimately I'm bullish on the chikun, but I wanted to present a "bearish" alternative since most people seem pretty bullish on Litecoin. This harmonic seems like a pretty bullish bear though.
评论:
Times are purely guesses too, just a rough idea of when the event might happen.
评论:
I realized it probably already has passed point B, so we're now headed down to C, updated the pattern a bit
评论:
altered the timeframe a bit, it isn't likely it would take nearly as long as I had guessed, price points are basically the same.
评论:
I don't think we've hit Point C yet, but it's possible we're very close to the reversal point. A price point of 0.01570 would still fit the Bearish Alt Bat pattern - this could happen as soon as North America wakes up and starts trading after noticing the pumps going on for BTC (within a couple hours).
评论:
For that last update I put point C at the 78.6% Fib retracement of AB, which seems like a pretty likely place for it to occur.
评论:
Having said.. I'll be closing my short pretty soon just in case.
评论:
I'll wait a little bit to update the chart, but I think we're now heading back up on CD.
评论:
Here is an updated chart, I'm thinking we will reverse around ~7 PM MST on July 23 based on Fib time, at a price of around 0.02235.
评论:
Depending how fast we go up from here, a Bullish 5-0 Pattern could be what we're seeing on a smaller scale, or Bullish Three Drives. Either way, we should continue up with a potential retrace at Point C to D, and then continue on upwards.
Bullish 5-0
Bullish Three Drives
Bullish 5-0
Bullish Three Drives
评论:
Either way it should be done its consolidation pretty quick and make a move
评论:
A bit late on seeing this one... Bearish Gartley
评论:
Couple more potential harmonicss.
评论:
Final point - I'm assuming this won't play out as I'd hoped and am probably going to just accept that. This is a falling wedge and I'm pretty sure we're going to end up going down. Having said, might be a good shorting opportunity soon, but I probably won't continue to update this unless it gets back on track.
Good luck guys (if anyone is reading this)!
Good luck guys (if anyone is reading this)!
评论:
Bearish wedge (its a rising wedge, I always mix up the name and say falling wedge). Anyways, down we go...