Haceru

LTC - medium term

BITSTAMP:LTCUSD   莱特币/美元
930 48 8
This is just a draft of an idea ... take it with a grain of salt since it is a long shot. We might be in a bull flag formation with a low around mid February, anything between $70-$100 based on what I see now. I will keep an eye on it for a while and update / close it if necessary
评论: Watch out for this event coming at 11am EST - in less than 3 hours:
"Weiss Announces First Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Grades by U.S. Rating Agency"
https://www.weissratings.com/
评论: It seems LTC will skip the C point and might be heading directly to the target area. By the way it looks like now, it is about to form an inverted cup and handle formation in a down-trend. I expect a 30%-ish rebound to around $160 levels then a continuation towards the original targets.
评论: Never mind the cup and handle, we are already at the higher level of our target area; since this is 2 weeks earlier than expected, we can see the down channel broken, with the RSI going into the oversold area ... meaning we will have a very strong bounce up. From what exact level, very difficult to say but if I am not mistaken, the market depth shows a lot of buy orders at $100. Good luck all
评论: This trade was a major hit: who entered the lows of 102, now is looking at 50% profits already. What we might have here, short term, is a 12345 EW impulse, with the levels of the previous swings. The end of the cycle might be around $160-ish, where we have major resistance.
评论: Just perfect ... target reached for the short term update @165
评论: This is how the daily looks like:
As you can see, RSI is in bearish territory but didn`t reach oversold area yet; ADX still shows rising downtrend and the volume doesn`t look good either. So let`s watch for a "dead cat bounce" at this level that might just send the price all the way down to our initial targets of $70-$100
评论: A few days later, we might be looking at a bearish bat in a down trend formation on the 4h chart. If that`s the case, I expect a high around $180-ish levels followed by a continuation of the down trend to the target area
评论: Very nice rally on the 4h charts ... almost there at the 180-ish level.
评论: 4 days later, with a very elongated formation, target reached @182. Let`s see if the rally continues some more, even though on the 4h it shows some exhaustion
评论: And the picture:
pattern is complete so it should be shortting mate?
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Haceru AndreChristianto
@AndreChristianto, not necessary shorting but for sure take the profits...
+1 回复
Haceru Haceru
@Haceru, from $133 to $184 ... that is 30% ... quite nice in those market conditions.
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no dcb! hoping
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Haceru TBlare
@TBlare, 50-50 :)
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I really think this is a DCB The long term chart on LTC is still in intensive care . We'll see. Thanks for the great charts/updates.
+1 回复
Haceru london55555
@london55555, my pleasure, thanks for following and nice comments
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Great call! I can't believe it didn't get down to our $97 target! Oh well back to the drawing board LOL
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Haceru london55555
@london55555, LOL ... it is not over yet ;) I was just checking the daily and we are still in the lower part of the channel;based on the low volume, this might be just a small dead cat bounce ;) Lets see
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@Haceru, Good to know - ill call our algo guy back that i just fired and hire him back LOL
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