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Mastercard $MA bouncing off long-term trend

做多
NYSE:MA   Mastercard Incorporated
Conviction: 5/5


General Thesis
  • Bouncing off of long-term channel support (since 2009)
  • Weekly RSI showing signs of bottoming, with potential bullish divergence
  • historical support near (slightly above or at) 200W MA, which is also the case here

Growth
  • N/A
  • revenue growth is at historical highs

Value
  • P/FCF has come down dramatically since early 2021, now about 75th percentile, so still a bit high
  • P/S near historical high
    Fundamentals
    low debt/asset ratio and plenty of cash to deal with short term debts

    Potential Risks
  • a little expensive, more so than V
  • NFT hype may have gotten this to be too expensive
  • dependent on people continuing to spend money?
  • overall market is very expensive, drawdown could hurt this too
  • short term downward sloping resistance

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