MSTR Weekly PUT Alert — Katy AI Predicts Sharp Downside

MSTR QuantSignals V3 — Weekly Signal (2025-11-28)

Expiry: 2025-12-05 (7 Days)
Instrument: MSTR
Current Price: $177.30
Direction: PUT (SHORT)
Confidence: 60% (Medium)
Risk Level: ⚠️ HIGH

📈 Signal Details

Strike Focus: $175.00 (-0.427 Delta)

Entry Range: $5.90 – $6.20 (mid $6.05)

Target 1: $9.07 (+50%)

Target 2: $10.89 (+80%)

Stop Loss: $4.84 (-20%)

Position Size: 2% of portfolio

🧠 Katy AI Analysis

Predicted Move: $177.30 → $172.61 (-2.65%) over 7 days

Trend: Bearish momentum, consistent downward trajectory

Time Series: 70% of prediction points below current price

AI Confidence: 50%

📊 Technical & Market Context

Weekly Momentum: -2.46%

RSI: 20.6 (oversold)

MACD Histogram: Bearish

VWMA: -1.78%

Resistance: $179.96 (Katy stop loss)

Support / Target: $172.61

News Sentiment: Neutral-to-negative; Bitcoin volatility influences sentiment

Options Flow: Contrarian signal — PCR 0.44 (heavy call buying)

Gamma Risk: High — Friday expiration

⚡ Trade Setup & Strategy

Why This Trade: Combines Katy AI’s high-frequency prediction with oversold RSI in trending regime → ideal for momentum continuation

Timing Advantage: Friday expiration captures weekend decay and aligns with Katy’s 7-day prediction window

Risk Mitigation:

Tight stop at $4.84

Limited 2% position size due to expiration gamma risk

Strike selection provides balanced risk/reward