csmottola71

Nasdaq - New Wave Count

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csmottola71 已更新   
TVC:NDQ   US 100 Index
I think we are in the final stages of a complex wave 4 correction. A decisive break of 13400 has still not happened even though there have been plenty occasions to do this. A fib. retracement suggests a possible extension of X to 13500 before completing the move to the 0.382 or 0.618 extension. The generally erratic behavior of price action is typical of complex corrective moves. I would sell into strength in this faze and go long if we see a few heavy selling days @ around 12400/12600.
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Great caution here. 1 hour from close and prices have reached the first of the X wave targets, next could be the 0.768. It is likely that Nasdaq could loose 100 or so points un the last hour, bringing it back to the 13400 area.
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Closed above 13400, Uf confirmed tomorrow i'll review my count .... again ((
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I think Nasdaq is about to roll over and break the line marked as 3rd wave support, thus completing the wave 4 correction. 12400/600 my preferred targets. Analogously, US500 should be heading to retest 4000 (possibly a bit lower completing a 3 wave corrective structure.
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Well, that didn't happen. Instead the Nasdaq stormed through the 61.8% retracement. The current wave count is still my preferred count. A break above 13840 would make it quite unlikely and my next preferred count is quite disturbing.
I'm still expecting the correction to resume, targeting the mentioned levels.
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Errata Corrige. If this wave count is still correct, don't expect Z wave to go below Y, at least not by much. If you're short, pocket your profits in the 13000 area.
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This count is invalidated a few days back when 19814 was broken through. Next most probable count is a larger 3-3-3, with the current leg being the third B of a triple ABC pattern. This pattern would also fit in a triangle correction starting from the top of wave 3 (v). I'll post a new chart later so this idea idea is more clear.

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