$NFLX complex move, higher then lower (details inside)
Even though $NFLX missed on earnings , it's rallying after hours today. The first target to the upside is $349ish. I think somewhere between $349-357, price will top, and we'll begin a bearish move down through early February targeting $292ish (the bottom of the structure). From there, I could see price bouncing higher (if that support holds) all the way up to $379-382. If it doesn't hold, then price would likely go to the next support at $215.
There will be two chances to go short. One at $349-357 down to $292. One at $379-382 (should we get it). If we do get to that upper resistance, that's where I think most of the money will be made, because if we get to that upper level, I think we're headed down to the lower supports at $144 or potentially $80 which should mark the bottom of the move.
Basically I'm broadly bullish for the next 1-2 months (with awareness that there will be a correction once price hits the first resistance). Then bearish from around March- April onwards until we hit $144-80. Once we get to those bottom levels, I think that will be a great buying opportunity.
Let's see how it all plays out.
There will be two chances to go short. One at $349-357 down to $292. One at $379-382 (should we get it). If we do get to that upper resistance, that's where I think most of the money will be made, because if we get to that upper level, I think we're headed down to the lower supports at $144 or potentially $80 which should mark the bottom of the move.
Basically I'm broadly bullish for the next 1-2 months (with awareness that there will be a correction once price hits the first resistance). Then bearish from around March- April onwards until we hit $144-80. Once we get to those bottom levels, I think that will be a great buying opportunity.
Let's see how it all plays out.
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Started scaling into puts for Feb 17th expiration. Price action still looks strong, so starting really small.
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Ended the day in the positive on this one, however, I think there's potentially a move higher to $365 tomorrow or if we get over that level, it should be a great short. If that happens, I'll continue to add to this position heavily.