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Nikkei-225-Index startet die Weihnachtsrally 2017

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Die Weihnachtsrally beginnt traditionell in der letzten Handelswoche vor Weihnachten und erstreckt sich bis in die ersten Handelstage im Januar des neuen Jahres:

"A Santa Claus rally is a rise in stock prices in the month of December, generally seen over the final week of trading prior to the new year. The rally is generally attributed to anticipation of the January effect, an injection of additional funds into the market, and to additional trades which must, for accounting and tax reasons, be completed by the end of the year. Another reason for the rally may be fund managers "window dressing" their holdings with stocks that have performed well. The Santa Claus rally is also known as the "December Effect" and was first recorded by Yale Hirsch in his Stock Traders Almanac in 1972."
( en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Claus_rally )

Der Chart des Nikkei-225-Index zeigt den Kursverlauf seit der Wahl des US-Präsidenten am 09. November 2016. Ebenso gut erkennbar ist die Konsoldierungsformation "Cup with handle", die in den kommenden Handelstagen beendet wird. Typisch für diese Formation ist ein anschliessender impulsiver Ausbruch nach oben. Dies passt im Jahr 2017 nahezu perfekt zu dem seasonal pattern "Santa Claus Rally". Unterstützt wird ein beschleunigtes up side momentum zum Jahreswechsel durch den überdurchschnittlichen hohen Pessimissmus im Jahr 2017, der an allen Aktienmärkten die Kursanstiege begleitet hat. Das Kursziel für den Nikkei-225 Index liegt bei 24.400 Punkte. Es ist gut möglich, dass der japanische Aktienmarkt bis Januar höhere Werte erreicht, als der weltweit führende Dow Jones Industrial Index.

Quellen: cup with handle pattern
investopedia.com/terms/c/cupandhandle.asp
investopedia.com/university/charts/charts3.asp

注释

Weihnachtsrally: Überraschende Fortsetzung in Europa

Handelsblatt 48 Stunden zuvor:

"DAX-AUSBLICK - Ist die Jahresendrally abgesagt?

von: Jessica Schwarzer
Datum: 16.12.2017 14:47 Uhr

Mit großen Kurssprüngen rechnen Experten vor Heiligabend nicht mehr, eher mit vorweihnachtlicher Ruhe. In den Kalendern stehen nur noch wenige Termine – diese könnten allerdings für den einen oder anderen Impuls sorgen.
handelsblatt.com/finanzen/maerkte/marktberichte/dax-ausblick-ist-die-jahresendrally-abgesagt/20718678.html

DAX: Mit hohem Momentum über wichtige Chartmarken direkt zur Handelseröffnung.

(Bitte Chart anklicken um facts & figures zu laden:

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Nikkei-225-Index: Plus 500 Punkte am ersten Handelstag des Jahres 2018

注释

NIKKEI-225-Index: 750 Punkte upside crash nach BoJ Ankündigung, die lockere Zinspolitik uneingeschränkt fortführen zu wollen:

注释

FUNDAMENTAL DATA / MARKETS

Dow tops 25,000 on strong private hiring, global growth hopes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke above the 25,000 level for the first time on Thursday and other major indexes scaled new highs after strong U.S. private jobs data added to upbeat sentiment following indications of robust growth globally. The 30-member blue-chip index crossed five 1,000-point marks in 2017, driven partly by President Donald Trump's pro-growth agenda and solid corporate earnings. The momentum carried into 2018, with the benchmark S&P index closing above 2,700 for the first time on Wednesday and the Nasdaq settling above 7,000 a day earlier."Every 1,000-point increment in the Dow is becoming less of a percent move. It's just another milestone," said Michael Antonelli, managing director, institutional sales trading at Robert W. Baird in Milwaukee.

"The point that people need to take is that the macro indicators are telling investors that world economies are doing really well."

World stocks also hit records, driven by strong manufacturing and services sector data in major economies. U.S. private employers stepped up hiring in December and planned layoffs by American-based companies fell sharply, pointing to sustained labor market strength.
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/dow-eyes-25000-on-signs-of-strong-global-growth-1061336

注释

NIKKEI-225-Index: Per Definition immer noch in der "Santa Claus Rallye"

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NIKKEI-225-INDEX: Kursziel fast erreicht.

Beeindruckendes Momentum: Am dritten Handelstag des Jahres in Janpan vertikal aufwärts.

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NIKKEI 225: Triangle, Kursziel in Reichweite

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Triangle break out, up side momentum sollte kurzfirstig deutlich beschleunigen und das Kursziel übersteigen.

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Nikkei @ 24.135, Target almost reached. Nikkei-225-Index on highest level since 1992.

GEOPOLITICS, US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN, MARKETS:

Asia stocks rise as U.S. government shutdown ends, dollar/yen inches down

Asia stocks advanced on Tuesday after U.S. senators struck a deal to end a three-day government shutdown, sending Wall Street's main indexes to record highs, while the dollar inched down against the yen after the Bank of Japan kept policy steady.
U.S. lawmakers passed a short-term measure on Monday to fund the federal government through Feb. 8.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.7 percent to a fresh record peak.
Australian stocks (AXJO) climbed 0.7 percent and South Korea's KOSPI (KS11) added 1 percent. Japan's Nikkei (N225) was 1.1 percent higher.
World equity markets have been on a tear over the past year, buoyed by a synchronised uptick in global economic growth in a boon to corporate profits and stock valuations.
The brief U.S. government shutdown put only a minor dent to equities, with Wall Street rallying to record highs overnight following the deal to end the impasse in Washington. (N)
investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asia-stocks-rise-as-end-to-us-government-shutdown-buoys-wall-st-dollar-steady-1136776

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Nikkei @ 24.125: Strong Momentum after confirmed cup & handle pattern. Momentum should continue.

注释

A private indicator of China's economy just came in better than expected

Caixin/IHS Markit releases its China January manufacturing PMI reading
That metric focuses on smaller businesses in China compared to the official PMI reading, which was released on Monday
cnbc.com/2018/01/31/caixin-china-pmi-january-manufacturing-purchasing-managers-index.html

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