NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 16-Sep-2025

NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 16-Sep-2025

📊 Spot Price (Previous Close): 25,069
🔑 Key Levels from Chart:

Opening Resistance: 25,119

Last Intraday Resistance: 25,189

Major Resistance: 25,248

Opening Support Zone: 25,053 – 25,068

Last Opening Support: 25,000

Buyer’s Support / Last Intraday Support: 24,886 – 24,853

🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points above 25,119)

1. [] If Nifty opens above 25,119, it directly tests the resistance zone.
   [] A sustained move above this level may drive prices toward 25,189, which is the last intraday resistance.
   [] If bullish momentum continues, the next upside target could be 25,248 major resistance.
   [] However, a rejection from 25,119 – 25,189 zone may trigger a pullback toward 25,119, which will act as immediate support.
   

📌 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance zones are prone to profit-booking. Always wait for a 15-min or hourly candle confirmation before chasing longs.

🚨 Risk Tip: Avoid buying high-premium calls at market open. Prefer Bull Call Spreads (ATM + OTM combo) to limit risk.

🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Between 25,053 – 25,119)

1. [] A flat opening in this range will lead to early indecision.
   [] If price sustains above 25,119, bulls may take control, targeting 25,189 → 25,248.
   [] If price slips below 25,053 – 25,068 opening support zone, downside pressure may drag Nifty toward 25,000 last opening support.
   [] Choppy moves are likely until a clear breakout is seen on either side.
   

📌 Educational Note: Flat opens are “trapping zones.” The first 30 minutes are crucial to filter out false moves.

🚨 Risk Tip: Keep position sizing small during flat openings. Enter larger positions only after confirmation of breakout/breakdown.

🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points below 25,000)

1. [] A gap-down below 25,000 indicates weakness.
   [] If Nifty sustains below this level, it may head toward the Buyer’s Support / Last Intraday Support zone (24,886 – 24,853).
   [] Strong buyers may emerge here; a rebound can push prices back toward 25,000.
   [] A breakdown below 24,853 may extend bearish momentum and trigger deeper selling.
   

📌 Educational Note: Gap-downs near key supports are high-volatility areas. Watch for strong wicks and reversal candles before deciding on shorts.

🚨 Risk Tip: Instead of naked puts, use Bear Put Spreads to reduce premium decay and hedge against sudden short-covering rallies.

📝 Summary & Conclusion

Bullish above: 25,119 → Targets: 25,189 / 25,248

Neutral Zone: 25,053 – 25,119 → Wait for clear breakout.

Bearish below: 25,000 → Downside targets: 24,886 / 24,853

📌 The index is at a make-or-break zone. A breakout above 25,119 can fuel bullish momentum, while a sustained breakdown below 25,000 can shift the trend bearish.

💡 Options Tip: Use ATM or ITM options for directional momentum. For uncertain markets, prefer spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to manage risk.

⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is prepared purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.