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Futures & Options data analysis & view for 22 April

已更新

In our previous post we had mentioned that if Nifty has to go down, it has to break below 20 day EMA in the next 2 days.

https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/TwZ7CmWR-Nifty-Futures-Options-data-analysis-view-for-20-April/

That is what we have precisely seen. Opening scene of Day 2 – Nifty opens & stays below 20 day EMA throughout the day. We have accordingly suggested a trade in that post during market hours.

Let’s analyse the data for the day…

FIIs net sold 17.7K Contracts in Index Futures worth Rs 1070.57 Cr

Futures data analysis

- FIIs added 196 Contracts in Long position and 17.9K Contracts were shorted by them

- Retail participants added 9K Long contracts & squared off 1589 short contracts

- Pro traders added 3.5K Long contracts & squared off 2.9K short contracts

Options data analysis

Call option

- FIIs bought 5.8K Call options & 7.1K Calls were shorted by them

- Retail participants bought 1.07 Lakh Call options & 66.2 K Calls were shorted by them

- Pro traders bought 4.2K Lakh Call options & 44.3 K Calls were shorted by them

Put option

- FIIs bought 3.4K Put options & 4.8K Puts were shorted by them

- Retail participants booked profits / exited in 35.6K Puts Long contracts & exited from 26K Put Short contracts

- Pro traders added 7.47 K Put Long contracts & squared off 3K Put shorts

All in all, retail participants have gone aggressive on the Long side. They are net buyers in Futures and are net Call Long. (They were net Call buyers on 20th April too, suggesting a lot of people might have tried to average their position). FIIs are net short in Futures & keeping it light in options & Pro traders are net buyers in Futures but have balanced their position by adding Call Shorts & net buying some Put options.

Important levels on the lower side 8925 / 8868 / 8822 / 8750

Important levels on the upper side 9030 / 9061 / 9118 / 9196

Level of 8860-8874 is very important.

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A note to all my retail friends who are reading and following me

- please do not try to average positions in options

- Do not enter the trade first and then Hope for things to happen.

It's your money. You have to make things happen and YOU CAN... Just Invest some time in learning.

All the best & Take care...!!!

交易开始

Prima facie it looks like expiry close may not be below 8800

Consider selling Nifty 8800 Put option around 60
Cmp 58

注释

Note this is in addition to nifty 9200 call position sold at 58.50 ( & is currently at 27)

So effectively a short strangle strategy is in effect

注释

As data analysis suggested in early morning trade, Nifty does not look to go below 8800 in this expiry, strategy to sell Nifty 8800 Put option around 60 worked to perfection. After recommendation it made a high of 62 and is now trading at 17

交易手动结束

strategy Update
Nifty 9200 Call option CMP 41
Nifty 8800 Put option 1

Total profit 75*( 118.5 -42) = Rs 5737.5

Consider booking profits...!!!

Happy trading

注释

Prima facie Data analysis does not suggest nifty will fall below 9200 today.
Temptation of Buying 9200 Put should be avoided.