NIO Earnings Breakout Play – High Momentum Setup

NIO Earnings (QS V3 | 2025-11-24)

Strategy: Buy Calls (Earnings Play)
Confidence: 65% (Medium)
Expiry: 2025-11-28
Strike: $6.00
Entry: ~$0.18
Target 1: $0.36
Stop Loss: $0.09

📈 Technical Overview

Price: ~$5.82

Range: $5.25 – $5.87 (tight)

RSI: ~22.4 → Oversold

Volume: 1.1× average → Mild interest

Trend Regime: 95.3% → Strong momentum environment

Support: $5.75 (critical – Katy target)

Resistance: $6.00 / $6.12

IV: ~108% → High earnings volatility

Chart Instructions:

Draw support at $5.75.

Draw resistance line at $6.00–$6.12.

Add RSI indicator (watch for >30 breakout).

Mark option entry zone at $0.18–$0.19.

Plot targets $0.36 and $0.54 (extension).

📰 Sentiment / News Summary

High-impact earnings scheduled

Revenue growth reported at 22,347%

Neutral-to-bullish media tone

Whale activity + call volume shows positioning ahead of earnings

🧪 Flow & Volatility

Put/Call Ratio: 0.37 → Strong call buying

Unusual volume at $6C

Elevated IV ~108% (expect wide moves)

High trend regime → amplified breakouts

⚠️ Risk Notes

Katy AI shows neutral → slightly bearish path

Post-earnings drift can invalidate call setup

High IV = potential IV crush

Stick to 2% position size