As you can see, 1) It is break down channel 2) Failed to recover back to the channel 3) RSI is strongly denying uptrend
Plus
This is JPY/USD chart in weekly base. It broke up the triangle, and getting supported by 200EMA As DXY is going down and will go down a little more at least one more time in my opinion(even if you don`t agree with it...lol), It will keep pressure down to NKY.
Of course this is just JPY/USD pair, so I cannot surely say that 'JPY value is going up', but look this chart below:
Almost all JPY/currency pair moves earlier than gold/silver, which means people STILL believe JPY as 'value preservation' So, whatever something nervous happen(Mr, Trump, Fed or whatever ....), people will buy JPY and it will boost NKY`s down momentum.
If NKY go down together with JPY in the end, that will be real collapse