SILVER has delivered a massive breakout — up +109.9% YTD — but the weekly RSI is now pushing into one of the most extreme zones seen in two decades. Historically, every major spike into the 80–85 RSI band has preceded cooling periods, consolidations, or full reversals.The chart makes the pattern clear:
• Each parabolic advance since 2004 ended with RSI extremes similar to today.
• Price is testing the same overextension zone seen at the 2011 blow-off top and the 2020 surge.
• Weekly RSI rarely stays above 80 for long — momentum tends to reset before the next leg can form.
This doesn’t guarantee a top.
But when a commodity doubles in a single year and hits long-term RSI ceilings simultaneously, risk/reward becomes asymmetric.
Silver’s trend remains powerful — the question now is how sustainable the slope is.
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