OIL: Day 3 breakout short reversal

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“Trade setups, not movements”

1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
  • Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
  • Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
  • Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
  • Thursday DAY 2
  • Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅ day 2 cycle


2. SIGNAL DAY
  • First Red Day
  • First Green Day ✅
  • 3 Days Long Breakout
  • 3 Days Short Breakout
  • Inside Day


3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
  • Pump&Dump
  • Dump&Pump ✅
  • Frontside
  • Backside ✅


4. THESIS:
  • Long: primary, Friday day 3, market on the backside, is a high quality potential long setup, back to the HOW if criteria will be met. Consolidation till OIL market opening at least (9am NYT).
  • Short: secondary, not interested today in this scenario, however, the pump of yesterday can fail, with a further failed daily breakout going to re test the LOW.


Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni

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Market still expanding down, no reason to think about a long now
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market still dropping on the backside, no reason to countertrend, no setup
Beyond Technical AnalysisChart PatternsCrude Oilday3shortdumpandpumpgiannipichicheroOilpumpanddumpstaceyburketradingTrend Analysis

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