YaKa

SP500 - 2 extreme paths leading to 2165

FX:SPX500   美国标准普尔500指数
5
The path will matter.

SPX can take the pain path upward - Possible.
SPX can take the breather path down to 2040 before a sharp rebound.

I would have thought that there had been enough pain as it is but this is really the "smart money contrarian" path as everyone speaking on cnbc calls for a correction.

Key metric: monitor the dax, if above 10,750, the upward path on the SP500 becomes more likely.

Time metric: I will watch the close tomorrow.

In any case, we are proabably speaking of another 2% higher, max 4% if things become ballistic on sp500 which i doubt.
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