Hi All,
As I predicted from my last post, SPX crashed, much sooner than I expected. I see many people talking about news and fundamentals, but to me, it's just TA. The set up is there, the downtrend is clear. All the news are just background noise.
If you have missed the last boat, there might be another chance in the next couple of weeks. My explanation of my logic behind the crash is all written on the graph. It should be quite straight-forward. In the next couple of weeks, I am expecting a retrace back to the price range of $2707.37 - $2665, and then another drop should ensue. If the drop ensues, I would expect the price to drop to $2541.1 - $2518.31. However, as a retrace of 0.786 of the current downtrend, from the ATH to the dip on the 6th Feb, has completed, this could mean that the correction has completed and consequently the reversal of the current downtrend. And this was the reason that I said it is a good time to take partial profits.
Depending on your risk/reward ratio, you can decide at which point you place your short positions.
This is for education purposes. Please trade rationally.
Taiwan Bear
As I predicted from my last post, SPX crashed, much sooner than I expected. I see many people talking about news and fundamentals, but to me, it's just TA. The set up is there, the downtrend is clear. All the news are just background noise.
If you have missed the last boat, there might be another chance in the next couple of weeks. My explanation of my logic behind the crash is all written on the graph. It should be quite straight-forward. In the next couple of weeks, I am expecting a retrace back to the price range of $2707.37 - $2665, and then another drop should ensue. If the drop ensues, I would expect the price to drop to $2541.1 - $2518.31. However, as a retrace of 0.786 of the current downtrend, from the ATH to the dip on the 6th Feb, has completed, this could mean that the correction has completed and consequently the reversal of the current downtrend. And this was the reason that I said it is a good time to take partial profits.
Depending on your risk/reward ratio, you can decide at which point you place your short positions.
This is for education purposes. Please trade rationally.
Taiwan Bear
注释
My last "crash" call:
注释
Hi all, if you have placed long positions since I told you that a retrace is happening, please watch out the price closely as a reversal can happen at any time. SPX is about to enter the re-short zone. Set up an alarm just in case.注释
If you have already re-short, congratulations! You have just made yourself another 2% (1x leverage) within the last 12 hours. It will be a good time to take partial profits.注释
SPX is now very volatile. Please be careful if you are going long. The safer option will be to wait until it rises to $2695+ if you are thinking of shorting. 
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免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。