SPY $381: could push to $383+ as CMF & Momentum remain strong
I was wrong in calling corrections at 370 (of SPY), looking back, at the time STOCH/RSI still pointed upwards and CMF was very positive and still is.
Where do we go from here? Based on the trend line and momentums (RSI still has room) and squeeze is yet to fully fire to upside, I could see we continue to push higher to at least 383+ possible 385. It is however likely short-lived so the strategy remains the same: prepare for a correction with Cheap Put Butterfly.
Jan 29 Put Butterfly 375/360/345
Feb Put Butterfly 375/360/345
Much that I like to call a correction after a long extended rally, I am mindful of the fact that money supplies have grown so much in the past few years and there are no easy investment alternatives elsewhere (bonds, Golds, and TLT all-seeing huge money outflow, and into equity). So the tide goes up with the ocean wave. After all, Equity is the place to be.
I would not be hugely short but mindful of the fact corrections are inevitable so be conservative until better entry arrives. If and when corrections occur, my shopping list would be TWTR, CRM, BB, PFE, FDX, COST, HD, and obviously the monopolies that continue to print money and control our lives: GOOGL AMZN, AAPL, and SPY as a proxy for the market which yields better than the treasury.
Where do we go from here? Based on the trend line and momentums (RSI still has room) and squeeze is yet to fully fire to upside, I could see we continue to push higher to at least 383+ possible 385. It is however likely short-lived so the strategy remains the same: prepare for a correction with Cheap Put Butterfly.
Jan 29 Put Butterfly 375/360/345
Feb Put Butterfly 375/360/345
Much that I like to call a correction after a long extended rally, I am mindful of the fact that money supplies have grown so much in the past few years and there are no easy investment alternatives elsewhere (bonds, Golds, and TLT all-seeing huge money outflow, and into equity). So the tide goes up with the ocean wave. After all, Equity is the place to be.
I would not be hugely short but mindful of the fact corrections are inevitable so be conservative until better entry arrives. If and when corrections occur, my shopping list would be TWTR, CRM, BB, PFE, FDX, COST, HD, and obviously the monopolies that continue to print money and control our lives: GOOGL AMZN, AAPL, and SPY as a proxy for the market which yields better than the treasury.