$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025

🔮 SPY / SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 7, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Shutdown overhang: The U.S. Trade Deficit release remains at risk; traders lean on Fed commentary for macro tone.
📉 Rates + dollar watch: Treasury yields stay elevated ahead of FOMC Minutes (Wed); SPY sensitivity to DXY remains high.
💬 Fed parade: Five speakers on deck — market parsing for any shift in post-Powell narrative.
💻 Tech + liquidity: $AAPL/MSFT flows continue driving XLK rotation amid tightening liquidity backdrop.

📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — U.S. Trade Deficit (Aug) [subject to delay]
⏰ 10:00 AM — Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed) speech
⏰ 10:05 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) remarks
⏰ 10:45 AM — Stephen Miran (Fed Governor) speech
⏰ 11:30 AM — Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis Fed) speech
⏰ 3:00 PM — Consumer Credit (Aug)

⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.

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