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Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025

🔮 Weekly / Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

🏔️ Jackson Hole (Thu–Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposium—path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for $TLT.
📝 FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read on July meeting dissents and tariff/inflation views—rate-cut odds in play.
🛒 Retail Heavyweights: Earnings updates from = real-time consumer pulse for and broader risk tone.
🏠 Housing Check: Starts/Permits + Existing Home Sales frame construction demand and affordability; watch and long rates.

📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊

📅 Tue, Aug 19
• Housing Starts & Building Permits (8:30 AM)

📅 Wed, Aug 20
• FOMC Minutes (July meeting) (2:00 PM)

📅 Thu, Aug 21
• Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM)
• Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM)
• S&P Global Flash PMIs (Mfg/Services) (9:45 AM)
• Existing Home Sales (Jul) (10:00 AM)
• Conference Board Leading Index (10:00 AM)
• Jackson Hole Symposium begins (all day; speeches through Sat)

📅 Fri, Aug 22
• No major U.S. releases (focus: Jackson Hole headlines + positioning)

⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #FOMC #JacksonHole #housing #PMI #retailsales #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT #XHB #XRT