merkd1904

In For A Big Move Somewhere

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
As my previous posts may have shown, i'm not really a huge fan of this rally. We truly do live in the twilight zone right now and TA is being washed out by many different factors including news, QE that's not QE, rate cuts, tweets, hopium, etc.

Technically we've been on this $23 rally on declining average volume, on massive RSI bearish divergences on every TF including the monthly, and up straight out of a half completed descending triangle. Now there's nothing stating this can't keep pumping from here but it seems like the China happy talk crack pipe got a little too hot the past couple days and we've stalled out. We've left multiple gaps down below, and that mixed with the low volume we had on the way up we could see this proverbial house of cards get blown down with a pretty small gust of wind. It seems like the futures traders are the ones who have been sending us higher and it seems like they've wanted to turn this over the past day or two.

With the Bollinger Bands on the hourly tightening, which generally precedes a move in either direction, the market has been working off it's 'overboughtness' the past couple days. we could definitely just be bull flagging, but those gaps are like a nagging itch in the back of the markets head that needs to be scratched. Keep that in mind.

Be wary and goodluck.

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