BTC is chopping at key levels, so I’m not forcing trades there. Instead I’m using SUI on Kraken: strong push up from 1.33 to 1.55 on 24th, then clear distribution and break lower, which gives three structured ideas.
A. Base case: short a failed retest of 1.50–1.52 after rejection, invalidation above 1.54–1.55, targeting 1.46 then 1.42.
B. Aggressive: if price grinds under 1.48 and breaks, I look to sell a retest from below with the same invalidation and target at 1.44.
C. Counter-trend: I only consider a long after a sharp flush into 1.40–1.42 and a clean reclaim on 15m; below 1.40 the bounce idea is off.
This is a map, not signals. I size so a full stop costs about 0.5% of equity and take partial profits at the first target.
A. Base case: short a failed retest of 1.50–1.52 after rejection, invalidation above 1.54–1.55, targeting 1.46 then 1.42.
B. Aggressive: if price grinds under 1.48 and breaks, I look to sell a retest from below with the same invalidation and target at 1.44.
C. Counter-trend: I only consider a long after a sharp flush into 1.40–1.42 and a clean reclaim on 15m; below 1.40 the bounce idea is off.
This is a map, not signals. I size so a full stop costs about 0.5% of equity and take partial profits at the first target.
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