TLDR: The US 10-Year Treasury Yield and the closely correlated USD/JPY pair can be determinants or signals of market risk. With both breaking their three decade long trends, you have to wonder is a major secular shift upon us.
The USD/JPY currency pair has traditionally had a close correlation with U.S. Treasuries. The pair shows how many yen are required to buy one U.S. dollar
The pair's exchange rate is one of the most liquid, not to mention one of the most traded, pairs in the world. That's because the yen, just like the U.S. dollar, is used as a reserve currency.
When yields on Treasury bonds, notes, and bills rise, the Yen tends to weaken relative to the dollar. When interest rates head higher, Treasury bond prices go down, which lifts the U.S. dollar, strengthening USD/JPY prices
The US 10-Year Treasury Yield and the closely correlated USD/JPY pair can be a determinants or signals of market risk. With both breaking their three decade long trends, you have to wonder is a major secular shift upon us.