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US 10Y TREASURY: pricing rate cuts

TVC:US10Y   美国10年期国债收益
It was final time for the Fed to align with the market. At the latest FOMC meeting, this was the case, considering that rhetoric about potential rate increases was not at all in the spotlight of Powell's speech, but clearly slowdown of inflation and that FOMC members are perceiving Fed`s rates at 4.6% as of the end of 2024. This was a clear signal for markets that rate cuts are coming during the course of the next year, with current anticipation that it could be already in March next year.

Although 10Y US Treasury yields started the week around 4.28%, they swiftly reverted toward the downside and lowest weekly level at 3.9%. The market is currently testing the $4.0% level, which might impose some volatility in the week ahead around this level. Still, looking at the larger picture, the yields would certainly further test lower levels, currently eyeing 3.8%.

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