US 10yr Treasury Yield and Fed Liquidity Inverse Correlation

2023年5月3日

Still kicking since beginning of 2022.

Higher for longer

2023年5月8日

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Nice print today, victory is not being declared yet. Ton of volatility still. Hard to go long the TLT when this is playing out.

2023年5月22日

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chugging towards 4.00%, liquidity is finicky right now, but is still trending downwards. If you check the WRBWFRBL fed liabilities draining res balances, liquidity is actually ticking up. Should get interesting. Like this correlation tho.

2023年6月1日

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debt ceiling deal is close to in the bag, yields coming down makes sense here unless senate doesnt pass it

2023年7月27日

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still playing out here. i know the fed liquidity doesnt update, but it still tracks.

2023年7月29日

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lol rip TLT hodlers

2023年8月16日

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again, rip TLT hodlers

2023年8月16日

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RIPPPPPPPP

2023年9月25日

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its so over for TLT bulls. couldnt be more over