Sideways movement predicted for 
USDCNH till the end of 2017. Nothing to see here, move on to another pair.
Fundamentals
-CNY fixing
(Higher swaps -> lesser short interest)
(Authority looking to keep yuan stable. Volatile Yuan -> Bad for economy)
-Fed Rate Decision
(Yuan least affected by fed decision -> see capital flows for direction of currency)
-Balance of Payments
(Don't expect BOP to deviate in extreme fashion -> See FX reserves)
-Devalued Yuan is providing support to economy -> improvement in industrial profits
Technicals
Strong resistance at 7.0, Support expected to deviate between 6.7 - 6.75
Black Swan Events
-Real Estate Bubble pops - 20% (Personally, I do not expect the bubble to pop in 2017. Open for debate)
No further explanation needed
-Donald Trump - 5% (North Korea deal informally reached? -> See Xi's visit to US)
"China is a currency manipulator" -> competitive devaluation
Fundamentals
-CNY fixing
(Higher swaps -> lesser short interest)
(Authority looking to keep yuan stable. Volatile Yuan -> Bad for economy)
-Fed Rate Decision
(Yuan least affected by fed decision -> see capital flows for direction of currency)
-Balance of Payments
(Don't expect BOP to deviate in extreme fashion -> See FX reserves)
-Devalued Yuan is providing support to economy -> improvement in industrial profits
Technicals
Strong resistance at 7.0, Support expected to deviate between 6.7 - 6.75
Black Swan Events
-Real Estate Bubble pops - 20% (Personally, I do not expect the bubble to pop in 2017. Open for debate)
No further explanation needed
-Donald Trump - 5% (North Korea deal informally reached? -> See Xi's visit to US)
"China is a currency manipulator" -> competitive devaluation
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免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。