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USD/JPY trades in descending channel

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FX_IDC:USDJPY   美元/日元
USD/JPY trades in descending channel

During previous trading session the currency exchange rate expectedly approached and made a rebound from the upper-boundary of the current descending channel. As a result, now the pair is expected to continue moving to the bottom. This direction is also supported by the fact that the 55- and 100-hour SMAs are located above the current market price. Nevertheless, deprecation of the Yen might be hampered if bears fail to push the pair through the monthly PP at 113.25. In addition to that, there is a need to take into account existence of a junior ascending channel that formed as a part of the larger pattern and might also obstruct the further plunge. Finally, some volatility in the markets might also be caused by a speech that will be delivered by Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda at the University of Zurich.
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USD/JPY heads to north in ascending channel

In result of the previous trading session previously dominant descending channel ceased to exist, as the currency rate broke through its upper boundary that was additionally protected by the 100-hour SMA. As a result, now movement of the pair is guided by the four-day long ascending channel. However, that pattern might not sustain for long, as the exchange rate is approaching towards another combined resistance formed by the 200-hour SMA and the weekly PP at 113.80.

Unless the buck receives a proper impulse, for instance, from the Fed Chair Yellen speech at the Central Bank Communications Conference, it is expected to fail to advance any further. On the other hand, the rapid fall might not happen as well, as the southern side is additionally backed up by a combination of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs.

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USD/JPY heads towards 113.00

As it was expected, the currency exchange rate failed to climb above combined resistance formed by the 200-hour SMA and the weekly PP at 113.80. This rebound as well as release of positive Japan’s quarterly GDP data led to a breakout from recently formed ascending channel.

As the currency rate crossed not only the 55- and 100-hour SMAs but also the monthly PP at 113.25, the pair is expected to continue heading to the bottom towards an alleged support zone near the 112.98 mark. The fact that the rate is also fluctuating in a general downtrend suggests that it should succeed to sneak below the 113.00 level. However, whether this assumption materializes will heavily depend on release of the American retail sales and inflation data.

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